Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 22.482669 25.535692 28.864739 32.766561 37.217516 42.140342 48.003173
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 18.048942 22.008291 26.649621 32.500680 39.693215 48.263240 59.275809
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 14.688796 19.088426 24.592406 32.003230 41.752772 54.185847 71.316481
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.389046 17.087714 23.335204 32.285527 44.841184 61.920054 87.073266
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.694417 15.603938 22.519453 33.029054 48.704348 71.387807 107.011690
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.185859 14.132009 21.488866 33.312423 52.007036 80.707046 128.647217
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.222702 13.307952 21.276842 34.792742 57.402721 94.162045 159.369108
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.203265 12.226146 20.493166 35.246402 61.280918 105.980360 189.961295
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.141142 10.896732 19.091304 34.430496 62.896229 114.354974 216.454720
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.342658 9.889360 18.074433 34.112490 65.349021 124.691590 248.814422
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.887079 9.426770 17.956011 35.434226 71.132246 142.354666 299.318796
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.546478 9.124822 18.088550 37.271049 78.299246 164.153894 363.284936
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.081884 8.518706 17.565500 37.774184 83.020991 182.304701 424.645805
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.535126 7.651964 16.371683 36.650435 84.053864 192.838935 471.546854
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.066888 6.874566 15.238970 35.459939 84.734661 202.825109 519.937307
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.740534 6.357459 14.592841 35.277389 87.796742 219.192504 588.935240
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.496134 5.987798 14.221658 35.692277 92.456446 240.622871 677.320823
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.256787 5.589403 13.715790 35.680718 96.050159 260.192504 766.116891
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.116387 5.411834 13.721585 37.006661 103.554892 292.108462 900.223314
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.939088 5.109476 13.359981 37.278586 108.210034 317.186638 1020.860513
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.726440 4.677573 12.585834 36.250021 108.889893 330.867243 1109.197584
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.563023 4.351867 12.043082 35.785692 111.185785 350.067581 1221.946504
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.480877 4.240395 12.079266 37.068138 119.266028 389.618420 1418.402008